Archive for the ‘economics’ Category

Second-Cheapest Syndrome

Tuesday, September 30th, 2008

Useful to know the next time to you eat out.

Ever order the second-cheapest wine on the menu while dining out? You don’t want to spend very much, but you also don’t want to look like a cheapskate ordering the cheapest bottle on the whole menu. Well, one in four diners do (in the UK, at least). In the marketing world, we can define this as a choice set effect with respect to reference pricing—using the cheapest bottle of wine as a standard of comparison against which the other wines are compared.

But did you know that the second-cheapest bottle is usually the worst value?

The Social Norm of Leaving the Toilet Seat Down: A Game Theoretic Analysis

Sunday, June 3rd, 2007

Will this settle the debate once and for all? Probably not, but an amusing read nonetheless.

All hope is not lost though. An important issue regarding social norms is whether they are created to increase welfare. Are they society’s response to market failures? One such norm is tipping for service quality. Azar (2003) has shown that the norm of tipping increases social welfare. In this paper, we show conclusively that the social norm of leaving the toilet seat down after use decreases welfare and by doing that we hope to convince the reader that social norms are not always welfare enhancing. Hence, there is a case for scientifically examining social norms and educating the masses about the fallacy of following social norms blindly.

Book: Founders at Work

Thursday, May 31st, 2007

Founders at Work
Founders at Work
Jessica Livingston
Apress, 2007

This book contains 32 interviews with founding members of different tech startups. Most of the interviews follow the same general format: how they got their idea, their first steps in forming a company, how they executed their plans, and what major obstacles they encountered. I think the author captures the character of many of these startups quite nicely in the introduction to the book: “In its plain form, productivity looks so weird that it seems to a lot of people to be ‘unbusinesslike.’ But if early-stage startups are unbusinesslike, then the corporate world might be more productive if it were less businesslike.”

Far from being a dry business book, the stories are engaging and inspiring. There are lots of great insights to be found in these interviews. Max Levchin tells us how much effort they spent to find ways to combat credit card fraud at PayPal, which became their main advantage as their competitors bled money from chargebacks. Mike Lazaridis was able to leverage their technical skills at Research In Motion to build a robust and reliable system for delivering wireless email. Philip Greenspun’s interview is a cautionary tale on what can happen when venture capitalists bring in incompetent managers to run your company.

Founders at Work is a good read for anyone curious about turning a wild idea into a sustainable business.

Rating: 7/10

Links:

Grand Canyon Skywalk is a Ripoff

Tuesday, April 10th, 2007

Watch out for this scam. Not only do they hike up the price once you are trapped there, they also don’t allow you to take pictures with some flimsy excuse about people dropping their cameras.

We walked in to get the tickets and met a very long line of people waiting to do the same. After 10 minutes of waiting, a “Question Answerer” came by and made it clear why it was taking so long: the sales people had to explain the “packages” and pricing to each and every person in the line. This was not because the package was that complex, but because each person in the line thought they were going to be paying $25 per person. In reality, the tribe was charging another $50 on top of the $25 for each person. You read that right, 75 bucks a pop. The “Question Answerer” explained it to us:

“The investor wants to get his, that’s the $25. But it’s our land, and we don’t get any of that $25, so we have to get ours too, you know?”

Ads on Wikipedia?

Thursday, February 15th, 2007

Ars Technica has a short article on the recent debate about Wikipedia’s funding model and whether they should resort to advertising on their site.

Though Wikimedia has less than ten full-time employees, it has real expenses. Bandwidth in 2007 is expected to cost up to $100,000 a month, and the group now runs more than 350 servers. Will the necessary money continue to flow in from donations when so many ‘Net users have grown used to getting content for “free”?

Not everyone thinks so. While Wales wants to keep Wikipedia free of ads and corporate influence, others say that this is exactly what the site needs to grow and ensure its financial stability. Weblogs Inc. CEO Jason Calacanis has been harping on Wikipedia for months, arguing that the encyclopedia could rake in as much as $100 million a year with only minimal advertising.

Firefox – A $50+ Million Cash Cow

Thursday, January 4th, 2007

A brief article on how profitable the open-source Firefox project has become.

You see that little Google search box on the upper right? If you use that box to make a search and click on one of the Google ads from the results page, Firefox gets an estimated 80% of the money. In addition to the search box, Mozilla also makes money from searches made on the Firefox start page.

The investment advice given to Google’s IPO millionaires

Thursday, December 14th, 2006

This is a long, but very interesting article on index funds.

As Google’s historic August 2004 IPO approached, the company’s senior vice president, Jonathan Rosenberg, realized he was about to spawn hundreds of impetuous young multimillionaires. They would, he feared, become the prey of Wall Street brokers, financial advisers, and wealth managers, all offering their own get-even-richer investment schemes. Scores of them from firms like J.P. Morgan Chase, UBS, Morgan Stanley, and Presidio Financial Partners were already circling company headquarters in Mountain View with hopes of presenting their wares to some soon-to-be-very-wealthy new clients.

Rosenberg didn’t turn the suitors away; he simply placed them in a holding pattern. Then, to protect Google’s staff, he proposed a series of in-house investment teach-ins, to be held before the investment counselors were given a green light to land. Company founders Sergey Brin and Larry Page and CEO Eric Schmidt were excited by the idea and gave it the go-ahead.

Extended Warranties are for Suckers

Wednesday, November 8th, 2006

You would think this is pretty obvious yet people keep throwing their money into these things.

Someone’s done the math and my hunch was right. A New York Times article titled The Word on Warranties: Don’t Bother expains why:

  • They’re actually a profit center for retailers. The margins on electronics are very thin, but they extended warranty margins are as high as 80%.
  • It’s a sucker’s bet: you’re betting against the bathtub curve and you’re also betting against the trend of falling prices in the belief that the cost of repair will exceed the cost of replacement.
  • A Consumer Reports study shows that only 10% of digital cameras fail in their first five years. For the extended warranty to be valuable, it would have to be less than 10% of the purchase price, yet extended warranties often cost as much as 20% of the item’s price. Besides, if you had a five-year old digital camera, you’d probably want to replace it, not repair it.
  • Last year, suckers spent $16 billion on extended warranties.

From Hobby to Independent Software Vendor

Wednesday, September 13th, 2006

I came across this link on reddit and discovered a number of inspirational accounts of developers who took the plunge from writing software in their spare time to building relatively successful ISV businesses. Well worth a read.

From The Road Less Traveled:

When discussing the indie dream much fuss is made about “making the leap.” This idiom can be applied to many risk-taking situations, but in this context it usually refers to that fateful day when an individual decides to stop receiving a steady paycheck, in favor of some pursuit which probably offers less certain financial rewards.

Your familiarity with the phrase is inextricably linked with another well-worn utterance: “don’t quit your day job.” This phrase probably started as a cautious piece of well-meaning advice, but has evolved into a nasty weapon, used by terminally unhappy people to assassinate the dreams of those who aspire to something different.

Living in a hidden-fee economy

Wednesday, July 19th, 2006

Printers, minibars, and cell-phone plans…what are you getting yourself into?

The printer. It’s one of the most common peripherals in the computer age and so cheap — at first blush, anyway — that stores often give them away when you buy a PC. Yet how many people realize, when they walk out of CompUSA, a nice $99 inkjet model tucked under their arm, that it’s likely they’ve just committed themselves to spending nearly $1,500 on ink cartridges over the next four years? (In fact, only about 3 percent realize it, according to Stanford economist Robert Hall.)

The Parable of the Broken Window

Thursday, April 20th, 2006

Wikipedia has a good article on the broken window fallacy.

The parable describes a shopkeeper whose window is broken by a little boy. Everyone sympathizes with the man whose window was broken, but pretty soon they start to suggest that the broken window makes work for the glazier, who will then buy bread, benefitting the baker, who will then buy shoes, benefitting the cobbler, etc. Finally, the onlookers conclude that the little boy was not guilty of vandalism; instead he was a public benefactor, creating economic benefits for everyone in town.